Are Airports safe, Does Airports Resume All Flights ?
The world is connected by flight paths
defying distance to bridge gaps between continents and people, but
planes also made it possible for viruses to travel faster than ever
before that turned a local outbreak into a global pandemic.
The airline industry was knocked out of
the sky, around 90% of flights canceled globally some airlines
couldn't survive things are slowly taking off again but the future of
aviation looks very different.
Health screening has become as
important as security screening ,social distancing in once crowded
Airport terminals and on board may be the new normal, but how will
the new normal ensure protection from a deadly virus, that hasn't
gone away
Welcome to my covid 19 special @
yogikhongsai.com I'm Yogi Khongsai in hyderabad and the last time,
I traveled by plane was in March when the started to spread in
Germany and planes were soon grounded .
While now restrictions are being lifted
and people are slowly taking to the skies again, but is it safe birds
chirping at the largest Airport an unusual silence where thirteen
hundred flights used to take off and over two hundred thousand
passengers transit each day.
We saw a 98 percent fall in passenger
numbers since the lockdown measures began to be eased, we felt things
moving a bit last week we had an average of around 10,000 passengers
per day which is about 20 percent more than the previous week,
It's much less than last year, but we
see an increase and some movement on the passenger side in China
where the pandemic first broke out, the low point was mid February
with only 23 percent of the normal flights.
That is now stabilized at around 60
percent compared to the previous year, but the industry fears
passenger numbers will never reach the same levels of passengers,
need a good reason to travel at the moment we expect new measures
from the government starting June the 15th.
We now have passenger restrictions
until that date and we expect a resumption of flights in the Schengen
area on the 15th, but before that happens passengers have
to feel safe, it would take years to equip aircraft with new seating
plans and may never happen given the air carriers tight budgets.
For the time being travelers will need
to bring a lot more patients with them, in Delhi baggage is
disinfected outside the terminal, all passengers are checked for a
temperature negative.
Corona tests could be added to the
list for passengers boarding in some countries, seating on the
flight is socially distanced, the flight attendants uniforms are also
different so experience wise to just sum it up.
If you ask me this, is yes it is
overall different because we are not used to coming to work like this
and the job isn't over once the flight lands, this cleaning team in
Delhi has to completely disinfect the aircraft, so is the coronavirus
the kiss of death for air traveling or can we reduce the risks of
catching a dangerous disease.
let's bring in the review and findings
of a Professor from the department of computer science from a
University, he is the principal investigator of new research on
pedestrian dynamics models.
That has recently been used in the
analysis of procedures to reduce the risk of disease spread in
airplanes in terms of health, how risky is it to fly well if you look
at one specific flight or one specific individual.
On a particular flight the risk of
infection is not very high, however considering there are so many
travelers and so many flights, it's inevitable at some time or the
other that'll be a major outbreak on the flights.
Similar thing happen in SARS also, so
there are most of the flights known, in fact with anyone else but
there are a few flights where a lot of people got infected, so so the
risk of getting infected on a plane isn't higher than let's say are
on a train or any room that is closed.
I don't want to give exact numbers
because in a new outbreak, it's always very difficult to predict
what's going to exactly happen but because of a large number of
flights, you have a high probability of some outbreak or that are
happening over the whole system, all right well let's take a closer
look at this SARS co2 virus.
One way to reduce the risk of catching
the virus is social distancing, that is pretty impossible on a plane
isn't it, well social distancing for example they're acting up
talking about the six feet threshold, however if you are much closer
the probability of infection is much higher.
Sometimes you can catch it even if your
further away ,so do certain things for example some airlines
removing the people in the middle seat, so that increases social
distancing a bit.
If you look at the passenger, you know
they can when boarding they can actually try to maintain distance for
example, if you bought lost you can try to maintain distance at the
previous person and you have some control over what happens.
If everybdy boards last then the
plane will never take off and leaving out the middle seat is is
obviously not very cost-effective for the airlines, you did a lot of
research certainly in the way that humans behave in sort of narrow
passageways and you used Frontera.
Which is one of the world's most
powerful supercomputers how did this computer helped with the
simulations and what were the findings,well one of the observations
is that human behavior is very hard to predict.
So if you look at one particular
simulation or two three simulations and try to see what will humans
do, you may probably not going to capture all
possibilities,especially major infection outbreak an extreme event.
So to capture that you need to look at
all possible ways in which humans actually behave ,so we have to do
the simulation we did millions of simulations, so that takes a lot of
computation effort.
So that is the reason we had to use a
supercomputer because we want to look at extreme events where some
unlikely situation leads to a major infection outbreak, now given
that a lot of people are starting to fly again because planes are no
longer grounded.
Its stated already that it's a good
idea to be the last on board that might not always be possible,
anything else we should bear in mind is there a particular safe seat
or row especially when we think of air ventilation, droplets that
carry viruses and them floating around.
Well theoretical models suggest that
sitting in the aisle seat is most dangerous because first you're
close to people who are actually walking in the aisle and second the
air circulation most of the planes takes the Earth from the window
side into the aisle side.
In some planes it differs, but on the
whole it tends to move the air towards the person on the aisle which
increase the infection probability, please go well in fat outbreak
though one of the major outbreaks actually was spread between aisle
window and the middle seat.
So it's not guaranteed that if you sit
in the aisle, you are going to have a higher probability and if
you're in the window you'll have a lower probability, however it has
some modeling support and some common sense.
Window would be a little safer than
dying, all right now you know what should you book next.
When we have a vaccine how can we
provide enough shots to inoculate everyone, is there a plan to
coordinate efforts around the globe, there are now over 120 different
Covid 19 vaccine candidates and studies are going on around the
world.
Conclution
Based on a range of technologies some
developers are so confident of success that they're already making
plans for large-scale production, the most likely scenario is that
we'll need more than one successful vaccine to meet global demand and
it could be that different demographics like children or the elderly
respond better or worse to particular vaccines.
So the shotgun approach is actually
being taken as a positive thing in late April, the w-h-o launched an
international initiative called the access to Covid 19 tools
accelerator, it's aimed at coordinating global efforts and and
ensuring equal access to any drugs or vaccines that are developed.
But in several key countries have not
come out in support of it, is there a difference between PCR tests
and iliza tests, a PCR or polymerase chain reaction test is a method
for multiplying and tagging small amounts of genetic material like
RNA from a swab sample taken.
For example from our nose or our
throat, PCR is the primary method used to determine the presence of
Covid, so whether someone has an active Covid 19 infection, ELISA
which stands for enzyme linked immunosorbent assay.
A serological tests is a blood test
for detecting antibodies made by your immune system in response to
the virus and they take awhile for the body to produce, so PCR tests
tell you if you're currently infected.
While ELISA tells you if you might
have had the disease already at some point in the past, how come our
experience with pandemics like SARS Ebola and HIV didn't help us stop
Covid 19 right away.
Since the SARS epidemic, we've had over
15 years to prepare for another fast spreading deadly new respiratory
illness caused by a corona virus, many experts said over and over
that a disease like Covid 19 was inevitable that it wasn't a question
of if it would happen.
But when and what did we do to
prepare, not much the most you can say is that we didn't have to
start completely from scratch because a few labs did pursue
coronavirus research during the last decade and a half, especially
after the advent of MERS.
But the pharmaceuticals industry
largely lost interest and that's mostly down to the fact that there
just isn't a lot of money to be made in preparation or preventive
measures that's all Covid 19 special.
Thanks for being in and before you go,
a helpful reminder for those of you planning to board a plane soon
again, be sure to bring wipes with you to disinfect surfaces,
plastics zip, bags, for personal items like your ID card and wash
your hands as often as possible stay in your seat and wear a mask and
in either case have a safe flight
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